The sure-to-come U.S., E.U. and NATO air war on Ethiopia.
Let me make one thing perfectly clear about the air war to be waged against Ethiopia by the U.S., E.U. and very likely NATO!
(I argue NATO will also be involved in an air war against Ethiopia because Lord (Tariq) Ahmad of Wimbledon on June 3, 2021, tweeted: (“Conflict-related sexual violence is abhorrent and unacceptable in our world. This week, UK and NATO ministers agreed powerful action to stand up to these brutal crimes and ensure we can protect and support victims and survivors today and in the future.”)
Incontrovertible facts about the U.S., E.U. and NATO air war on Ethiopia. The U.S., E.U. and NATO air war on Ethiopia is NOT about concern for human rights violations, genocide, war crimes, famine, etc. in Tigray. It is about regime change and restoration of the terrorist TPLF to power in Ethiopia!
It is about making Ethiopia the graveyard of China in Africa. It is about preventing Russia and Turkey from getting a foothold in Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa region.
That is what it is all about, like it or not. Agree or not.
What may be expected?
1. I expect the U.S. and E.U. and NATO will undertake an air war in Ethiopia similar to Operation Deliberate Force during the Bosnian War.
2. I expect the air war to start before September 30, 2021, the last day of the current Ethiopian government. The U.S. and E.U. and NATO will do whatever they can to prevent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed from officially taking office on October 1, 2021 following an election certified “free and fair” by the African Union. They will fail!
3. I expect the U.S., E.U. and NATO to coordinate air attacks on Ethiopian positions in Tigray from bases in the Sudan using Egyptian assets. It is also likely they could use the Fifth Fleet which has been patrolling the Persian Gulf, Red Sea, Arabian Sea, and parts of the Indian Ocean since 1995.
On June 5, 2020 (mind you 2020), I wrote a commentary asking, “Is Egypt Secretly Planning a Proxy War on Ethiopia?” I concluded by arguing, “Egypt wants to use a weak Sudan to fight its dirty proxy war against Ethiopia to control the Nile.”
On March 2, 2021, nine months after I posed my question, Sudan and Egypt concluded a “military cooperation agreement”. In June 2021, Sudan and Egypt undertook military exercises “amid tension with Ethiopia.”
4. I believe the June 2021 Sudan-Egypt military exercise is nothing more than a proxy U.S.-E.U.-NATO operation to invade Ethiopia and restore the TPLF to power which will in turn over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam to Egypt in exchange for the restoration of the TPLF to power.
5. I believe the U.S., E.U., NATO and Egypt are currently assisting and financing the TPLF terrorists in Sudan masquerading as “refugees” to form the front of the assault force to give the impression that it is not them who are leading the war.
6. I expect the U.S., E.U. and NATO’s principal strategic objective will be to open land and air access to the TPLF from Sudan and Djibouti. In doing so, the U.S. and E.U. will try to justify their air war as a humanitarian effort to open road and air access to prevent famine and genocide.
7. I believe the U.S., E.U. and NATO will use their air power to provide arms and weapons to the TPLF.
After all the damage and destruction, Samantha Power will do exactly what she did in the Syrian case!!!
“As for the barbarous results that will occur in Tigray as a result of an air war on Ethiopia, Power will plead ignorance as usual: “Whatever our sincerity, we could hardly expect to have a crystal ball when it came to accurately predicting outcomes in places where the culture was not our own.”
It is not the size of the dog in the fight that determines the outcome of the fight; it is the size of the fight in the underdog. We Ethiopians are the underdogs facing the meaner-than-junkyard-dogs of U.S., E.U. and NATO and their lapdogs Egypt and Sudan. We Ethiopians are surrounded on all sides. But I am not concerned in the least.
During the American revolutionary war, John Parker, a colonial farmer, patriot and captain who commanded the militia at the Battle of Lexington (the very first engagement between American revolutionaries and British colonialists) on April 19, 1775 said “Don’t fire unless fired upon, but if they mean to have a war, let it begin here.” John Parker’s message is just as good for Ethiopian Patriots!
Mahatma Gandhi said, “Strength does not come from physical capacity. It comes from an indomitable will.”
Air power does not win wars. Indomitable will does.
Exhibit A. Carpet bombing of Vietnam.
Exhibit B: Carpet bombing of Afghanistan.
Exhibit C: Carpet bombing of Iraq.
Exhibit D: Carpet bombing of Yemen.
Carpet bombing of Ethiopia?
Breaking Ethiopia with carpet bombing: Don’t even think about it!
In 1969, Nixon’s National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger said, “I refuse to believe that a little fourth-rate power like North Vietnam doesn’t have a breaking point.” as he instructed his aides
to develop a punitive military strategy that would coerce North Vietnam into negotiating on American term.
That is exactly what Susan Rice, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, Samantha Power, Jeffrey Feltman, and other lower-level bureaucratic flunkies are saying today of Ethiopia. “We refuse to believe that a fourth-rate power like Ethiopia does not have a breaking point.”
Since November 2020, Susan Rice, Antony Blinken and Jake Sullivan have been openly and publicly looking for Ethiopia’s breaking point. But Ethiopia does not break. Ethiopia will never break. Ethiopia will never breakup. Ethiopia will never breakdown. Ethiopia will never breakaway.
Ethiopia will stand proud and tall no matter what the Rice-Biden administration and its European Union lackeys do!
Ethiopia is like the bamboo tree. Ethiopia will sway against tornadic winds. Ethiopia will bend against the westerlie winds. Ethiopia will bow and yaw against the ferocious winds, BUT IT WILL NOT BREAK.
Ethiopia will roll with the punches as the Rice-Biden administration and the E.U. unleash their sanctions the likes of which the world has never seen.
Hear ye, hear ye, Samantha Power, Susan Rice, Antony Blinken and the whole lot of you warmongers: In the Present Crisis facing Ethiopia, you can fight tooth and nail to restore wrong (TPLF) to the throne. You can spread your lies and your disinformation on Ethiopia.
You can impale the truth about Ethiopia’s righteous actions to preserve its sovereignty on the scaffold.
You and the Democrats in Congress can pass all the resolutions you want. You can dupe Brother Congressman Gregory Meeks and Sister Congresswoman Karen Bass to do your dirty work.
You can “encourage, cajole, push, and prod the whole system: State Department, Treasury Department, Defense Department” to stampede Ethiopia. You can do whatever the hell you wanna do.
But know that the scaffold sways the future, and, behind the dim unknown, Standeth within the shadow, a HIGHER POWER that keeps watching above his own ETHIOPIA. Ethiopia today. Ethiopia tomorrow. Ethiopia forever!
Editor’s Note: The views entertained in this article do not necessarily reflect the stance of The Ethiopian Herald
The Ethiopian Herald August 7/2021
